Poker Probabilities to Increase Your Winning Odds

Improve Your Chances of Winning
Poker and Probability

Poker, as is well known, is a game of chance, tactics and prowess. Bluffs and poker-faces aside, this article will be about the chance aspect of poker, discussing some odds and probabilities in Texas hold’em.

Understanding the chances behind poker is fundamental to becoming a better poker player, since players can use this knowledge to create far better poker strategies than their unknowing counterparts. Being aware of the odds means that the player will know when to call and when to fold, if drawing to a higher combination is worthwhile, and so on.

What are the Chances?

First of all, before even looking at any probabilities about combinations, let us look at the deal: forget being dealt an excellent hand, such as two aces, and awaiting for such a hand. The probability of this happening is a mere 2.1%, not worth waiting for.


Firstly, here are some aweful odds:

Drawing to a three-of-a-kind – if the player has a pair and draws to a three-of-a-kind (or set), the chances of that happening by the flop (the first three cards dealt faceup) are about 7.5:1. The odds of getting a set by the turn (fourth card dealt faceup) is 22:1.

Gutshot, or inside straight – the player is four outs (potential winning cards) away from a straight; the chances of this are pretty low, being 10.5:1, or about 9% of the time.

Outs post-flop – if the player is two cards away from finishing their hand post-flop, the chances of getting those two cards are 0.3%, an abysmal chance. Even if the player gets one, the chance of getting the other is 4.55%.

Flopping a flush – the odds of getting a flush by the flop are extremely low: 0.8%, or 124:1, not worthwhile at all.

The odds in these situations are staggeringly stacked against the player. Most of the time, it is best to fold, unless the pot is too high to miss, or low enough to risk.

Good Odds

Now, time for the good ones:

Drawing pairs – the chances of drawing a pair at the flop is 32.43%, nearly a third of the time! By the river (fifth card dealt faceup), the chances increase to nearly a half of the time!

Drawing flush post-flop – if the player is one card away from a flush after the flop, the chances of drawing a flush by the turn is 34.97%, a little over a third! Moreover, the chances of drawing a flush by the river is 24.32%, a little under a quarter.

Flopping an open-ended straight draw -if by the flop, the player could possibly draw to a straight at either end (say, they have 7-8-9-10, they would need either a 6 or a Jack for a straight), the probability of drawing a straight by the river is 31.5%.

Aces high – a hand of suited connectors is generally regarded as being better than a hand of aces due to their possibilities of drawing straights and flushes; however, the odds would say otherwise: the probability of winning with the overpair (a high-ranking pair in the hand) over the connectors is around 80%.

These odds are far safer to call with and should generally be taken. Hopefully, these lists of odds will help the player improve their poker playing.

Getting Started in Online Poker: A Concise Beginner’s Guide

The word has it that online poker is a great equalizer. It doesn’t matter whether you’re a man, woman, big, small, old or young. Poker is meant to be enjoyed by everyone. Online poker takes this notion to the next level, as you don’t even need to go to a brick-and-mortar casino to get in on the action.

You can play for free or for the smallest stakes imaginable or you can join the pros at the high roller tables. It doesn’t matter if it’s your first or hundredth hand, everyone’s welcome at an online poker table.

Online poker is simply the traditional card game of poker played over the internet. There are many different poker sites that offer different variations of poker with a wide range of stakes available.

Online Poker vs. Land Based Poker

The rules of poker remain the same whether you’re playing at a land-based casino or against a random person on the net, but there are some key differences.

When you play online, the game tends to be faster, with fewer risks and more accessibility. Fewer risks because you can play for smaller amounts and more accessible because you can find a game anywhere, anytime.

Players are also offered bonuses throughout their online poker experience which is unheard of at land-based casinos. This gives you the opportunity to play for longer which essentially leads to consistent winnings over a sustained period of time.

How to Play

Your first step is to create a user account. You must be 18 years old or the minimum legal age in your jurisdiction. The online poker site will do checks when verifying your account, so don’t expect to get in if you’re underage.

You might be offered a no-deposit bonus which will allow you to play for free but the amount of bonus money is usually quite low. It’s great however, because it gives you the opportunity to test the waters before making a deposit.

When you’re ready to make your first deposit you’ll be able to choose one of many different payment methods. Deposits are generally instant, so as soon as you have money in your bankroll, you’re ready to play.

Strategies and Hands

The player with the best hand win, so before you start playing you’ll need to understand the hand values of the game. Memorise a chart or keep it open when you’re playing, until it makes sense. When you play poker you combine luck and strategy to tilt the odds in your favour, so it’s strongly advisable to focus on your strategy throughout your entire online poker experience.

Finding the Best Online Poker Sites

There are a few basic things you need to remember to find the best online poker site. The poker site should have an outstanding reputation to ensure the safety of your personal data and money.

Another crucial factor is the level of competition you’ll face. The lower it is, the easier it will be to win. And, last but not least, you need to find an online poker site that offers you generous bonuses and freerolls throughout your entire poker journey.

Enter the PokerStars Sunday Million

You certainly don’t have to be a professional poker player or a poker legend to play in the notoriously exciting Sunday Million tournament at PokerStars. Casual players can have the wrong perception of the most valuable online poker tournament in the world often thinking that it’s only the seasoned players with masses of online tournament experience that can enter the amazing Sunday Million battle every Sunday at PokerStars. Not only do casual players enter the great Sunday Million tournament but they also win regularly making a name for themselves and advancing their poker ‘careers’.

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PokerStars Created the Moneymaker Effect’

Everybody needs to make a start somewhere so try to become the next Chris Moneymaker, the 27 year old accountant who won an $86 satellite to get to the WSOP in Vegas in 2003 where he won the World Series of Poker title. Since that time, PokerStars has benefited from the ‘moneymaker effect’ as players dream of replicating his phenomenal success at the tables. It put online poker on the map and has seen the game explode on line into a favourite pastime for millions of enthusiasts.

There are now more than 100 million players registered at PokerStars and the attraction of the card room where the action never stops has not waned at all for good reason. It hosts the most valuable online tournaments and gives players multiple possibilities to play without spending a lot of cash to take part.

It costs $215 to buy your seat directly to play at this incredible No Limit Texas Hold’em tournament where $1 million is guaranteed by the PokerStars card room no matter what. The winner walks away with a minimum of $150,000 and the rest of the pot is shared out with the players who end up in the money at the final table. It’s not a bad payout for a few hours doing what you love best on a Sunday.

As the Sunday Million tournament has grown in popularity the actual prize funds often exceed the guaranteed funds by a long shot so the winner usually gets more than the 150 K up for grabs and the rest of the players fare better than they thought possible. It’s definitely a scintillating way to boost your bank roll and set you up for great things in the world of poker where the sky is the limit at PokerStars.

Satellites are Key to Advancing at PokerStars

Satellite tournaments are scheduled several times a day at PokerStars especially for members of PokerStars who want to ‘work’ their way to the top. It costs as little as $0.55 to sit down at a satellite or use your Starscoin earned from playing in real money games and tournaments at PokerStars. Everybody accumulates Starscoin as part of the loyalty scheme so use your Starscoin to get yourself in several of the great Sunday tournaments at PokerStars as well as a whole lot of other amazing tournaments hosted throughout the week. Check out the Saturday tournament schedule as it has really taken off in recent months making it almost as lucrative as the Sunday offering at PokerStars.

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888Poker Fastest Growing Internet Card Room

It’s a great time to join 888Poker, the fastest growing card room on the internet where already more than 10 million players are registered and enjoyed superb poker. Multiple thousands of poker players located all over the world, even in the most remote areas are online playing in the 888Poker room any time you log on. You never need to waste time sitting around waiting for players to join you at a cash table or a Sit & Go tournament as there are always plenty of players logged on and active.

Winner of the prestigious EGR Best Poker Operator Award, three years in a row gives you a hint as to why 888Poker is expanding its share of the online poker market so fast. You can’t keep a good poker room under wraps for long and at 888Poker the opportunities to play in exciting and lucrative poker games and tournaments are infinite.

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Thrilling Play Money Tournaments at 888Poker

It doesn’t have to cost you real money either as there are plenty of ‘play money’ poker games and tournaments hosted in the venue every day giving newbies and players with small bank rolls the chance to gain experience and have fun at 888Poker without risking any cash. Freerolls are another important feature at 888Poker that give all players regular chances to play in tournaments without a buy in fee but walk away with a share of the prize money guaranteed by 888Poker.

The team at 888 are well aware that tournaments may be a very new experience for many new players in the venue so they provide their members with loads of guaranteed freerolls to help them hone their tournament experience and boost their self confidence. Like everything that’s new in life, it’s important to understand the way a poker tournament works on the internet and to get the ‘feel’ for the jargon and terminology as well as the technical features at the card table on the screen.

888Poker boasts superb poker software that’s been created for the 888 brand and any poker rooms that have elected to use it for their customers. The software is safe and 100% free of malware, advertisements and spyware making 888Poker a secure choice for players seeking a reliable online card room for their casual entertainment.

888Poker is well supported on social media where more than 200,000 players are involved in the active 888Poker online community. You can follow 888Poker on Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, You Tube and G+ where special exclusive promotions rewards members who participate in the fun and the chat sharing their poker experiences at 888.

Play 888Poker On Your Mobile

The innovative and secure 888Poker apps are available in the Apple App store and on the 888Poker website for players who have Android operated devices. Why should you tie yourself down to your desk top computer for all your poker entertainment when you can have the full 888Poker service while you are out and about? It’s time to join the poker revolution by becoming a member of the 888Poker community. Find out more about the new player club at 888Poker at>>

Free Cash Game Ticket and More for New Customers at Unibet Poker

Set up a Unibet Poker account today and you will be ‘bowled over’ by the generosity of the ‘welcome’ that you will receive with a free cash game ticket worth £10 credited to your account as soon as you enter your personal details on the registration form and BEFORE making a real money deposit to your new Unibet Poker account.

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The £10 ticket is for use at No Limit tables at stakes of £0.02 / £0.04 within seven days of issue so make sure that you get down to some serious poker as soon as you can to make the most of your free ticket. The playthough requirement is that the player sees 750 flops before withdrawing money from the account which is a normal condition in any online card room for promotional offers.

Once a player has deposited into the new account for the first time the initial deposit will be matched with a welcome bonus up to €400 released incrementally into the new player’s account as rake is paid in real money cash games and fees paid to buy in to real money tournaments. The exact amount of money credited into the real money account as players engage in poker games is listed in a table on the promo page under terms and conditions with 60 days given to clear the bonus completely.

Freeroll tournaments hosted by the poker room do not release any bonuses awarded to the player as they cost nothing to enter but give players the opportunity to win a share of a guaranteed prize pool as well as gain valuable tournament experience where players feel competitive enough to make the tournament interesting. Play money games are fun but cannot be compared to the ‘fighting spirit’ which reigns at the poker tables where there is real money up for grabs. The freeroll Frenzy is a fabulous feature of the Unibet Poker room so make sure that you register and play as often as you feel like it for free. The freeroll tournaments begin afresh every 2 hours in the venue with differing amount of prize money guaranteed for the various tournament formats. There are several turbo tournaments scheduled daily where the blinds rise very quickly so you can program your leisure time to take in a fast tournament with between €25 and €100 up for grabs.

Complete Your Monthly Mission to Collect Big Prizes

All new players are offered the opportunity to participate in exciting poker missions that are very popular with the Unibet Poker members. New innovative Missions are set each month giving players a superb challenge for themselves and to compare with friends who are members of Unibet Poker. The Missions boast superb prizes for players who manage to reach the designated levels in the mission description and with the missions well within the capabilities of all the poker players in the card room, they are highly entertaining and satisfying.

PokerStars Offers a Card Room That is All Go

pokerstars-online-pokerThe PokerStars card room is not just a place to play poker but also includes news and blogs as well as a top quality poker school which offers video tutorials at all levels put together by the professional poker team at PokerStars. The action never stops at this vibrant card room that sees a fresh new tournament of some description begin every second of day throughout the year.

Tens of thousands of people win tournament seats every year to live events that are a regular feature of the PokerStars card room. The thrill passes from the virtual poker room to fabulous casinos in great locations where the players and the PokerStars pros mingle and enjoy the very real experience of hands on poker in the bright lights of the television cameras and in full view of thousands of spectators who want to enjoy the unbeatable atmosphere that fills every event.

Win Your Seat to a Live Event

In January of every year there is a great meeting of PokerStars players in the Bahamas for the PokerStars Caribbean Adventure where millions of dollars are up for grabs and a lot of partying is undertaken by everybody present. You can look at video coverage of the event from the past few years on the website with commentary and music demonstrating just how marvelous the whole ‘party’ is. You can enter the low cost satellite tournaments that run throughout the day for the various live events and win yourself a dream package by registering a new account today and getting down to some serious grinding at the tables. Register through our link below entering the bonuscode PSP5957 to get a welcome bonus of up to $600.


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Titan Poker is a Truly Fabulous Card Room

titan_poker_logoThere was never a better time to join Titan Poker which is a tremendously important card room with its dominant position on the iPoker network. The welcome package that has been prepared for new members is extremely generous in terms of bonus which is a huge 200% of your initial deposit up to $2,000 and in free tournament tickets.

Tournaments are the most exciting element of the Titan Poker room with huge sums guaranteed in the card room monthly. New members are eased into the tournament scene with 4 tokens to participate in the weekly $2,500 freerolls as well as a ticket to the $10,000 Monthly Bonanza. As if that wasn’t impressive enough you are given access to the daily Sit & Go tournaments including the $25 booster freeroll which is scheduled every evening at 6pm GMT. That makes for a very tasty pre-dinner game and giving you the inspiration to play in the numerous tourneys that run every evening all week long.

Great Poker Tools for Free

Titan Poker has user friendly software and it offers a fully comprehensive explanation about the fabulous software features with a regular update informing customers about new features that have been added to make the experience at Titan Poker pleasurable and exclusive. The Titan Poker academy is totally free to all players and it is really advisable to check out the tips and strategy advice that is posted for players who are beginners or very experienced. The Titan Poker Guru is another outstanding tool that has been put in the card room for the members and again it costs nothing to use it but can bring you fabulous results in your game and to your bankroll which is what counts. Register a new account with Titan Poker using our link below and collect your bonus and all the other ‘goodies’ waiting for you.


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Superb VIP Scheme at PokerStars

pokerstars-online-pokerThe VIP scheme operated by the PokerStars team is a very rewarding scheme which gives players the possibility of getting as much as they possibly can from the PokerStars card room. It is left up to the player to decide what to do with his or her Frequent Player Points and the VIP points which they earn from their real money poker play at the cash tables and in the tournaments which begin every second in the PokerStars card room.

The higher the stakes that you play at, the more FPPs you will see dropping into your account as you are contributing more ‘Rake’ to the pot and benefiting the card room from your high level of play. Similarly you earn a lot more FPPs when you enter tournaments with a bigger buy in fee as it is the buy in fee which determines the number of FPPs you will be receiving from PokerStars. There are millions of players who are registered with this, the biggest and most pro-active card room in the world and a large proportion of these customers gain huge advantages and benefits from playing at the cash tables and in the tournaments both online and in ground based casinos which are often the location of poker tournaments.

Non Stop Action

The excitement and the action never cease for a second at PokerStars as people from all over the world frequent the card room during different times of the day and night according to their time zones so the card room is always bubbling with chat on the blog and with players exchanging views with other players. Register an account now with PokerStars using our link below and include the bonuscode PSP5957 to get a welcome bonus of up to $600.


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Betsafe Poker Red Featuring Great Games and Tourneys

Betsafe Poker Red operates on the OnGame network which guarantees that there are always plenty of players at the cash tables at all times of the day or night. 450,000 customers are registered with this superb card room enjoying a refreshingly attractive venue with state of the art graphics and poker client features which help you to get the most from every game and tournament.

Tournaments are scheduled around the clock and fifteen million US dollars of prizefunds are guaranteed by Betsafe Poker Red every month of the year ensuring that players always get the money that they expected to win even if there is a shortfall in the number of participants.

Great Cashback Rates

All customers who play in real money ring games and tourneys earn player points automatically at the rate of 3.6 points for every dollar wagered. The player points are accrued in a point account that you can keep an eye on closely and the number of points earned each month determines your VIP status in the VIP Reward Program. If you play frequently enough you will earn more points and be entitled to bigger cash back percentages each month when all the calculations are done by Betsafe Poker Red.

You can get as much as 40% of your contributed rake and tournament buy in fees returned to you in this way monthly, keeping your bankroll nicely boosted and your spirits very high indeed. The ‘Cash is King’ ideal that has been adopted by Betsafe Casino Red is highly successful and gives customers the cash that they need to play and enjoy themselves in the card room. Register a new account today using our link below and you can choose your welcome bonus using registration code pnodds immediately getting off to a fabulous start at Betsafe Poker.


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It Doesn’t Get Better than PokerStars

pokerstars-online-pokerIf you are looking for the ultimate poker experience in a card room that has the largest online community in the world then make sure that you register an account with PokerStars. More than 50 million people have become PokerStars players since it was launched in the year 2000 and every day sees more people signing up to enjoy the fun at the poker tables and the sociable atmosphere that reigns in the card room.

Millions of Dollars Guaranteed Weekly

A fresh online tournament starts every second making it a ‘hyperactive’ card room with unbelievable levels of activity throughout the day and night. Every day boasts a series of big prize tournaments called the ‘Daily Bigs’ as well as satellite tournaments which pave the way for low cost entry to big money tournaments which attract a huge number of participants, especially on Sundays which are the very big day tournament days at PokerStars. Check out the Sunday Warm Up as well as the Sunday Million, where at least $1 million dollars is guaranteed in prize money with the first placed player getting at least $150,000 which is certainly a great return on a few hours of thrilling entertainment at PokerStars.

For every dollar that you contribute in rake in the cash ring games and buy in fees to enter tournaments you are awarded frequent player points automatically which are flexible for players to use. They can be exchanged for real money that you could use to win even more money and FPPs and to buy into tournaments which is a very worthwhile way to get the most out of your points. Register a new account today using our link below and the bonuscode PSP5957 to get a start up bonus of up to $600.


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